White Plains, NY 10606
Last Updated: 08/29/14 03:58:49 EDT
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Hurricane Summary POSTED: August 28, 2014 5:38 p.m. Cristobal, a Category 1 Hurricane, Accelerating Northeastward Across the Atlantic Basin we are monitoring the progression of Hurricane Cristobal which is passing well north of Bermuda. We are also tracking a weak area of low pressure that has moved inland over south Texas. A tropical wave in the central Caribbean and another tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean remain disorganized. A tropical wave due to move off the coast of Africa tomorrow has some potential for development. Cristobal will maintain hurricane intensity into early tonight as it remains over warm water north of Bermuda. It will start to move over colder water and experience increased shear late tonight and Friday. The storm is racing northeast at over 35 mph and fast moving tropical cyclones generally do not lose their strong winds quickly when moving that fast. Cristobal will transition to a non tropical storm tomorrow but the contrast in temperatures aloft between the colder air moving toward the system and the current deep tropical air should maintain winds of near hurricane force until Saturday when it starts to fully interact with a large North Atlantic storm near Iceland. The surface low near the south Texas coast has failed to wrap up and has moved inland over Port Mansfield. This will bring some beneficial showers and thunderstorms to parts of southeast and south Texas through Friday and perhaps into the weekend. A tropical wave near 70 west longitude south of 20 north latitude will move westward during the course of the next several days. Computer forecasts show this tropical wave attempting to become somewhat organized as it approaches the eastern Yucatan Peninsula on Sunday. These same computer models show low pressure forming over the southern Bay of Campeche early next week and moving northwest. This area is a favored area for quick tropical development and it's possible a tropical system could form in the southern Bay of Campeche early next week. A strong tropical wave is forecast to form off the west coast of Africa during the next 24-36 hours. This system is projected to move west and has some potential to become an organized tropical feature. However, recent computer forecasts continue to show less support for development as it interacts with the dry stable air still in place over the south central North Atlantic. Even if development of this tropical wave does occur this weekend or early next week it will remain well away from land for several days. If it were to stay on a westerly course it would not reach the Lesser Antilles until the latter part of next week. By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski

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